2-4 last night which puts my two day record to 8-10. Not a good start but it’s only been two days. If there is one thing I learned from doing this for so long is that nothing comes easy and you have to work at this every day. Again, this market can be beat, it’s just not as easy as one may think.
For a Friday there isn’t much to choose from but I think I picked out a few diamonds in the rough.
A ranked team at home giving only a few points? I’ll take it. Arizona St (-5) is crushing teams and we saw how explosive they can be against Xavier. I don’t think St Johns will be able to keep up. One thing that does worry me is that ASU has Kansas on Sunday.
I rarely bet on road favorites. However, I don’t think USC is all that good. Rumor has it that they are getting back one of their guys but I don’t think it’s going to matter all that much. USC came into the season with some hype but feasted on cupcakes in their first four games and then got their shit pushed in when they played real teams. Oklahoma (-2) has got that freshman that is must watch TV and they’re only giving 2.
I love TCU (-2) and I love the fact that Pitt fans are regretting that they ran off Jamie Dixon. Dixon has his best team yet and looking to make even more noise in the Big 12 and get to the second weekend in the Tourney. TCU travels to Nevada who is ranked but IMO hasn’t played anyone. This is a great opportunity for TCU to show why they deserve to be ranked.
The Cavs (-5) are on the road taking on the Pacers. We saw the Pacers struggle with the Bulls so my confidence in them is low. The Cavs lead the Pacers in almost every relevant category and 4.5 is very doable.
The Nuggets (+2) aren’t very good I get it. They’ve lost 2 in a row to what I believe are inferior teams. They are down two of their star players and they are still getting used to that. Orlando however isn’t much better in fact they have a worse record than Denver but I don’t pay too much attention to records this early in the season. My model likes Denver and Orlando is missing Fournier.
The Raptors (-6) might be the 3rd best team in the East and they are taking their talents to the Grind House to face a banged up Memphis team with again, a lame duck coach. This number is too short as I’m seeing a clean sweep in my model including Memphis at 34% ATS.
The Celtics (+2.5) travels to San Antonio to face Pop and the Spurs. We all know how good the Spurs are and Pop’s ATS record but this is a case of the Celtics having more talent on the floor than the Spurs. I think Boston gets up for this game to prove they can beat teams that play sound basketball.